After about 15 games, I have seen the Allies win only 6 times. Most of these wins were early in the 15 games. I think the Germans are harder to play than the Allies, but only because you can't afford mistakes.

I've only seen Caen fall once. The Allies had to surround it, then lay waste to the units trapped inside. It took the whole game, and was a bloodbath for both sides.

Read the recent articles on B:N in the General -- for once, they discuss strategy rather than being an advertisement for the game. Good tips on German play. I think it boils down to holding 4 areas: Caen, Carentan, St Lo, and Foret De Crisy. The first two you should defend to the last man. The last two you shouldn't give up until the last two days. Don't fight for non-bocage areas; leave sacrificial units in them to slow the allies down. Don't bombard fresh Allies just to prevent them from moving unless absolutely necessary -- save your guns to make spent Allies d1. The exceptions are isolated paratroopers, where you should whittle away at them, working to destroy an allied unit. Keep either Panzer Lehr or 12SS together for a counterattack when the weather changes, if you can. And blow bridges whenever you can. If nothing else, it prevents him from seizing them in an assault. The bridge from Isigny into Grand Camp and between Isigny and Catz are worth rolling several times for.

Overall, I think its a great game - one that can be played over and over. My only complaint is that bad die rolls hurt the Allies more than the Germans, it seems. I saw one game where all 5 Allied landings failed - the Allied player didn't get off the beaches for 3 days. I don't need to tell you who won.