This paper was prepared in draft by the author for presentation at the 31 st Annual Convention of the International Studies Association on April 13, 1990. The author also presented the draft paper to the 58th Symposium of the Military Operations Research Society at the United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, Maryland, on June 13,1990. Because of the creative nature of this "think piece," the Strategic Studies Institute is issuing this final version to stimulate ideas and concepts concerning the future of the U.S. Army. The author, Colonel David E. Shaver, presents four simple models as his framework for discussing the size, missions, resources, integration, and utilization of the future force. His second model, the Aversion Policy Model, will become part of a new U.S. Army War College course entitled "Strategic Visioning." In addition to the framework, Colonel Shaver directly addresses the major military issues facing DOD Total Force Policy in the next decade. The military reader may not agree with all the author presents, but our purpose is to stimulate ideas and seek new paradigms of thought. Karl W. Robinson Colonel, U.S. Army Director, Strategic Studies Institute Back to Table of Contents Justifying the Army Back to SSI List of Issues Back to MagWeb Magazine List © Copyright 1990 by US Army War College. This article appears in MagWeb (Magazine Web) on the Internet World Wide Web. Other military history articles and gaming articles are available at http://www.magweb.com