East German 1980s
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Modern Wargaming

By S. Williams

The Likelihood of a NATO Attack on the Warsaw Pact

Here is the link to the GDR documents which give the view from the other side. The section on how the GDR Government falsified NATO strengths and intentions makes for interesting reading as this quote shows.....

"This ideological depiction of an aggressive NATO and Bundeswehr was maintained -- despite military evidence to the contrary -- via the propagation of a falsely menacing image of both entities throughout the NVA. For example, to convey the supposedly offensive nature of NATO's military planning, a standard assumption in the plans and exercises of both the NVA and the Warsaw Pact was that NATO intended to attack in the direction of Berlin with four attack groups. The fact that NATO did not have sufficient forces for such an attack posed no problem at all for NVA planners.

On paper, for example, the Bundeswehr (without its territorial forces) could simply be increased by 2 corps with a total of 12 divisions. By supplementing this with other deliberately false information, NVA planners could create the illusion of a 6-to-1 NATO force advantage in the "Berlin Direction," which certainly appeared to be an alarming threat. Considering that such manipulations went on for many years, it is not surprising that as late as August 1990 (!), at a command training session of a military district, NATO was depicted as harboring far-reaching aggressive intentions."

The link for the web page is here:

    http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/CWIHP/BULLETINS/b2a3.htm


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