The Effectiveness of the Rifle Musket

Number of Hits Versus Shots Fired

by Brent Nosworthy

Setting out to write a comprehensive work on Civil War tactics, I decided to wade through a wide range of primary sources: veterans' memoirs, newspapers and magazines, military scientific treatises, etc. It soon became evident that period tacticians and weapons experts had an entirely different few of the rifle muskets' capabilities than most modems. Belgian ballistic pendulum tests showed that the Enfield rifle musket had an initial 1115 ft./sec , [1] while Major Mordecai's own tests showed this to be 1750, 1500 and 947 feet/second, for the 1841 old style rifle, smoothbore musket, and pistol, respectively. [2]

This meant that trajectory of shots fired from all Minic type rifled muskets were very parabolic. For accurate fire at long range, the shooter had to correctly estimate the range of the target and then adjust the back guides accordingly. This, incidentally, was known as the "scientific method of firing" and was systematically taught at Vincennes and Hythe. During the 1850s, the French military increasingly felt that the average soldier lacked sufficient presence of mind to perform these steps under fire and Napoleon III reemphasized the importance of bayonet charges and withholding fire during the attack.

An examination of the effectiveness of the rifle musket in battle seems to partially support Napoleon III's tactics. A number of sources discuss the typical accuracy of fire during battle. An 1863 article in the Army and Navy Journal calculated that during the Battle of Murfreesboro 145 "musket" shots were needed to inflict a casualty, while during the battle of Gaines Mills, there was approximately one hit per 100 shots.

Modern analysis of shots fired versus casualties inflicted returns similar results for the Battle of the Wilderness. The American infantrymen's ability to inflict a casualty for every 80 to 125 shots fired compares very favorably for the one to 800 ratio observed for British infantry during the battle of Vittoria (1814) [3]

However, concluding that the rifle musket was 6 or more times effective than the smoothbore musket, it must be remembered that a British observer during the Mexican American during the Battle of Churubusco (Aug. 20, 1847) observed that Mexican infantry inflicted one casualty for about every 800 rounds expended, while the American infantry were able to kill or wqound a Mexican for every 125 rounds. [4]

Here, the Americans achieved the same effectiveness with a smoothbore flintlock as did their Successors with rifle muskets during the Civil War. This suggests the reasons for the increased effectiveness for American infantry fire did not stem necessarily from the weaponry, but from how it was employed on the battlefield.

Consider the hypothetical case where a 300-man regiment that on average inflicts casualties equal to 0.3% of the shots fired, the casualty rate estimated for British infantrymen during the entire Peninsular War. Let's say ten new replacements are experienced hunters who achieve a 25% hit rate under fire whenever they encounter an enemy formation within 200 yards. The remaining 295 men in the regiment continue at the 0.3% rate. The new average for the regiment would now be equal to 295 x .003 + 10 x .25/300 or 1.1%. In other words, the addition of five extremely good shots would result in an overall increase of 266% in the average rate of casualties per total shots fired by the regiment.

Notes to Above

[1] Wilcox, pp. 171, 177.
[2] US, Report Small Arms (1856), p. 108; Wilcox, pp. 171, 181.
[3] A & N Journal, Vol. 1, p. 11, fn
[4] A & N Journal Vol. 1, p. 11.

Brent Nosworthy

As a military simulation designer, first for Simulations Publications Incorporated (SPI) and then Operational Studies Group (OSG), Brent Nosworthy became interested in the evolution of weapons technology and its impact on tactics and fighting methods during the age of the flintlock. His first two works, The Anatomy of Victory: Battle Tactics 1689 - 1763 and With Musket, Cannon and Sword: Battle Tactics of Napoleon and his Enemies have received international acclaim among military scholars and enthusiasts. Turning his attention to the rifle musket and the advent of breechloaders and repeaters, he has just published a smimilar work dealing with the Civil War - The Bloody Crucible of Courage: Fighting Methods and Combat Experience of the Civil War. The book is available from leading dealers, as well as on the internet.


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